Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Gold rises as dollar weakens ahead of Fed policy outcome


Gold rose for a third straight session on Wednesday as weaker-than-expected U.S. data weighed on the dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision later in the day.
The Fed is likely to keep rates steady, and the focus rests squarely on the tone of its statement and any timing for an eventual rate hike. The U.S. central bank raised rates in December for the first time in nearly a decade.
Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at $1,245.80 an ounce by 1006 GMT.
"The gold market is on hold before the Fed meeting ... but nobody thinks the Fed will hike rates today and June is hardly an option, which should be negative for the dollar and positive for gold," Danske Bank senior analyst Jens Pedersen said.
Data on Tuesday showed orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods rebounded far less than expected in March, implying that business spending and economic growth were weak in the first quarter. Another report showed an ebb in consumer confidence in April.
"Gold ground higher, continuing to trade in a tight range. The weaker dollar has supported demand, but investors remain wary heading into the central bank meetings," ANZ said in a note.
"An unchanged economic outlook and a more balanced assessment of the risks should enhance the Fed's confidence to proceed with further normalisation," it said.
Gold is highly sensitive to rising rates, which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced.
Bullion has rallied 17 percent so far in 2016 on speculation that the Fed may not raise rates this year amid uncertainty over the global economy.
OCBC Bank said the Fed "could strike a careful balance between calling for gradual policy normalisation and making sense of the recent spate of mixed economic data amid slightly stronger crude oil prices".
A slump in demand from key Asian consumers will likely push gold prices lower in the short term, GFMS analysts at Thomson Reuters said in a report on Tuesday.
Global gold demand tumbled by 24 percent year-on-year to 781 tonnes in the first three months of the year, its weakest quarter in seven years, GFMS said.
Among other precious metals, silver rose 1.1 percent to $17.34, while platinum added 0.9 percent at $1,017 and palladium gained 0.4 percent to $603.

Sensex goes below 26K, down 122 points as Asian cues lie low


The benchmark BSE Sensex gave up over 122 points to fall below the 26,000-level in early trade on Wednesday due to profit-booking by investors and weak Asian cues.
Caution ahead of expiry of April series contracts in the derivatives segment tomorrow influenced sentiment.
The 30-share barometer was down by 122.06 points, or 0.46 percent, to 25,885.24 in early trade, with sectoral indices led by banking, power and healthcare trading lower.
The index had risen 328 points yesterday, tracking a recovery in global stocks and oil prices.
The NSE Nifty dropped by 22.10 points, or 0.27 percent, to 7,940.55.
Brokers said apart from profit-booking, a weak trend in Asia amid caution ahead of a closely watched Federal Reserve policy announcement later in the day and the start of Bank of Japan policy meeting mainly pulled the indices down.
Japan's Nikkei fell 0.59 percent while Hong Kong's Hang Seng shed 0.31 percent in early trade today. Shanghai Composite was quoting almost flat.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended 0.07 percent higher in yesterday's trade.